http://news.sky.com/story/1044622/boundary-vote-mps-reject-planned-changes
http://labourlist.org/2013/01/david-cameron-just-lost-the-2015-election
David Cameron's chances of winning an outright majority at the next election have been dramatically dashed.
It follows a defeat on a measure allowing for changes in constituency boundaries; effective in 2015, which would have possibly meant the Conservatives gaining as many as twenty seats, thus giving them an overall majority in the House of Commons.
The Liberal Democrats helped to inflict this defeat on the Prime Minister, following the collapse of House of Lords reform, a key part of the Coalition agreement.
But the failure of legislation that could have given the Tories considerably more seats at the next election has greatly diminished Cameron's chances of governing without the help of other parties.
Cameron now requires a huge lead in the share of the vote in 2015 to achieve even the smallest majority. With their popularity at an all-time low, a result of this magnitude must seem surely nigh-impossible.
Labour is still very far away from winning the voters' trust, especially on the economy. They have also yet to set out in detail many of the policies on which they will fight the next election. Their lead in the polls is based almost wholly on voters' dissatisfaction with the government, rather than what Labour are currently communicating to the people.
But even with Labour doing badly, the chances of the Tories forming the next government are now even more compromised.
The Tories being forced to fight the next election on the old boundaries is yet more evidence of huge cracks within the government. On current poll-ratings, another Conservative-Lib Dem coalition cannot be ruled out as a possible result. But it is evident that Cameron and his Party can't wait to be shot of their Lib Dem junior partners; behind the smiles and bravado, there are just too many differences between the two parties for the current arrangements to anything more than a one-term wonder.
But if the polls are right, without the change in constituency boundaries that he so desperately needed for an overall win, the best outcome Cameron can hope for in 2015 is to share power again.
http://labourlist.org/2013/01/david-cameron-just-lost-the-2015-election
David Cameron's chances of winning an outright majority at the next election have been dramatically dashed.
It follows a defeat on a measure allowing for changes in constituency boundaries; effective in 2015, which would have possibly meant the Conservatives gaining as many as twenty seats, thus giving them an overall majority in the House of Commons.
The Liberal Democrats helped to inflict this defeat on the Prime Minister, following the collapse of House of Lords reform, a key part of the Coalition agreement.
But the failure of legislation that could have given the Tories considerably more seats at the next election has greatly diminished Cameron's chances of governing without the help of other parties.
Cameron now requires a huge lead in the share of the vote in 2015 to achieve even the smallest majority. With their popularity at an all-time low, a result of this magnitude must seem surely nigh-impossible.
Labour is still very far away from winning the voters' trust, especially on the economy. They have also yet to set out in detail many of the policies on which they will fight the next election. Their lead in the polls is based almost wholly on voters' dissatisfaction with the government, rather than what Labour are currently communicating to the people.
But even with Labour doing badly, the chances of the Tories forming the next government are now even more compromised.
The Tories being forced to fight the next election on the old boundaries is yet more evidence of huge cracks within the government. On current poll-ratings, another Conservative-Lib Dem coalition cannot be ruled out as a possible result. But it is evident that Cameron and his Party can't wait to be shot of their Lib Dem junior partners; behind the smiles and bravado, there are just too many differences between the two parties for the current arrangements to anything more than a one-term wonder.
But if the polls are right, without the change in constituency boundaries that he so desperately needed for an overall win, the best outcome Cameron can hope for in 2015 is to share power again.
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